Class Session IV>

Part One - What’s Your Story?

In the book Ishmael, a story is “a scenario interrelating man, the world, and the gods” and culture as “a group of people enacting a story”. Throughout the text, Ishmael examines our civilization’s story, what we tell ourselves about the way things should be. Perhaps it might help to think of a “story” as a scenario. A scenario is an outline or model of an expected or likely series of events. Last week you looked at four different scenarios or stories on the United Nations GEO website.

Whether we realize it or not, we all tell ourselves a “story” about what our life should be like and then we work to enact it or bring it into being. For example, you are currently attending college for some reason, probably based on the belief that a college education will lead you to a certain type of job with a certain level, or expectation, of income. That hoped for level of income will, hopefully, provide for your physical and material comforts at a certain level. The classes you are taking now, including this one, your expected degree, the job you’re hoping for and the things you’re hoping for in your life, such as that red convertible or monster truck you drive by on the way to school, are all part of your story/scenario and you are living so as to enact your story/scenario.  In other words, we create our lives through our story, whether we realize it or not. What we tell ourselves about the future drives and motivates us in ways we may not completely be aware of or understand.

So, what’s your story? Before you get started, get comfortable. Kick off your shoes, turn on the stereo….do whatever you need to do to relax and turn the world off for a bit. Then, when you’re settled, think about your life and where you are headed. What kind of job are you working towards? Do you want a family, a relationship with a significant other, a shiny car or truck, or just more time on your hands? Think about your life for a while, envision what you want it to be like and then, when you’re ready, jot down your story.
Be as broad, comprehensive, and visionary as you can…..if you don’t “put it out there”, it probably won’t happen. So in putting together your story, I want you to think about family and relationships, work, play, information, communication, spirituality/religion, transportation, housing, food, health care, as well as anything else you’d like to include. It might help by spending some time with your eyes closed and picturing how you want your life to look like. Then describe it in your story/scenario. Remember, there’s no right or wrong here and you’re not going to get graded on your story. Also, take as much space as you need. Thinking about your story may help you focus on the goals in your life and how to get there.

So, here it is, the story of ___________________(<Your Name Here - Print and bring to class on 2/17).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Part Two> What Do You Want to Leave Behind?
One of things that motivate us humans is how we are remembered, otherwise known as our legacy. Most dictionaries refer to a legacy as “something from the past” which has been left by a previous person or group. Each of us will leave a legacy behind. A legacy is how we will be remembered. Most of us remember family members that have passed on in a certain way, whether for their kindness, sense of humor, or how they helped those around them. Once you’ve completed your story, spend a few minutes thinking about how you want to be remembered and jot down what how you want to be remembered in the space below.
What you want to be remembered for….your legacy>

 

 

 

 

 

Part Two> Decision Making 101

As you live to enact your story and legacy, you’ll be making all kinds of decisions about how to spend your time, where to live, what kind of job to do, if and how many kids to have, and what kind of stuff to buy. These decisions will shape your life and the world around you. Since all of the earth’s systems are interconnected, all of these decisions will impact those fellow humans and the world around you. As this is an environmental science course, however, we’re most concerned with those decisions that affect public health and the natural environment. There are three kinds of decisions that affect public health and the environment:

1.       decisions of a reproductive nature (how many kids to have);

2.       decisions of a consumptive nature (what and how much stuff to consume), and;

3.       technology (the tools, techniques, and processes that provide the goods and services we need and want.

We humans use all kinds of methods to make decisions. Sometimes we flip a coin, sometimes we check the latest horoscope or throw a dart, and sometimes we just close our eyes and guess. Generally, we make decisions in one of two ways, either by using the power of rational thought (a.k.a. thinking) or by using or intuition or feelings. A lot of what affects or determines how we, as individuals, make decisions is what kind of decisions our parents made.

Many of us make most of our decisions intuitively. We might, for example, just on impulse and how things “feel” decide on a car to buy, where to live, and who to date (this is especially true of dating…we rarely engage in any formal decision process when it comes to dating….but that’s a another topic for another day). Regardless, sometimes our intuition is “right” in that it yields an acceptable outcome, though often we rationalize that it’s the perfect outcome. We often rationalize decisions based on facts but make decisions based on feelings. In fact, the more we rationalize our decisions the more likely that, at some level, we’re uncomfortable with them. If you ever hear friends go on and on about why they made a certain decision, it’s less likely that they’re trying to convince you and more likely that they are trying to come to grips with the decision themselves. But, no matter, we’re all humans and this is the way we humans operate.

There are a few things we can do, however, to improve our decision making. One of the methods used to improve decision making is known as cost benefit analysis. Cost-benefit analysis is a decision making technique for comparing the cost versus the benefits of a particular decision. Whether we realize it or not, humans conduct cost benefit analysis all the time. We often perform this analysis intuitively, rather than by using a formal, structured process. For example, every day when you commute to school or work, you make a decision about which route to take. The principal goal is often to minimize time spent in travel and get to your location as quickly as possible. You make decisions intuitively about which route may be the fastest, considering what time you leave the house and how much time you have to get where you’re going. The costs you expend are the time, money (for gas and tolls), and the effort you spend to commute. The benefits are time “saved” to do other things, or less money spent on gas or tolls. Rarely, would we consider taking an alternative, longer route to commute, unless there was some expectation of some other benefit. For example, people talk all the time about taking the “scenic route” between two locations. It is implied that the scenic route will take longer and/or may be more costly but there are times when the aesthetic benefit of the scenic route is worth the additional costs. We intuitively evaluate alternatives, assess costs and benefits, and decide on a particular course of action or not several times daily, whether we realize it or not.

To conduct a formal cost benefit analysis, you begin by describing the need or problem. Then the proposed action or set of actions or alternatives is considered. Next, the qualitative and quantitative benefits and costs, as well as the distribution of benefits and costs are calculated. For a specific action to be taken, generally the benefits must outweigh the costs. Further, the action taken must produce greater benefit than the alternatives actions considered. Simple right? Well, let’s look……

As our example for decision making, we are going to look at buying light bulbs, something we all use. To begin with, go to the following website> http://www.goodmart.com/facts/light_bulbs/bulb_types.aspx. There you’ll see six types of light bulbs pictured. The two we are going to compare are the good old reliable incandescent and the new compact fluorescent. The incandescent bulb is what most of us think of when the light bulb goes off in our head, the same way Thomas Alva Edison invented back in the late 1800’s. It works by burning a metal filament held in place by two metal wires. As the filament burns it gives off light as well as heat which is why light bulbs are hot when they’re on. Really, it’s nothing more then a high tech candle. Instead of burning a wick like a candle, the wire filament is burned by electricity. At the time it was revolutionary and it is still in place in most light fixtures in America today.

Light bulbs have come a long way since T.E. Edison’s version, however. Fluorescent bulbs contain gases which, when charged with electricity, luminescence or give off light. Generally, fluorescent bulbs use about ¼ the amount of electricity as incandescent bulbs to produce the same amount of lumens. Lumens is a measure of light output. So, let’s get started with our cost benefit analysis. Remember the goal is to learn how to do a formal cost benefit analysis.

Let’s start by taking a great price for an incandescent bulb; say 50 cents, and an AWFUL price for a compact fluorescent bulb, $25. WHAT! This is a no brainer you say, we don’t need to do an analysis. The incandescent bulb is WAY cheaper. My instincts tell me to buy the incandescent, and most of you and you probably make this decision every time you need to buy a light bulb. But, just for the sake of comparison, let’s run the numbers.

The chart below compares the “life cycle” cost of a fifty cent standard incandescent light bulb versus a twenty five dollar compact fluorescent light bulb for 10,000 hours. The term life cycle cost means the total cost of both options. While the incandescent is much cheaper to begin with, it uses four times as much energy to produce the same amount of light and lasts only 750 hours, which is the standard life rating for this kind of bulb. Compact fluorescent bulbs last for 10,000 hours, nearly 14 times a long as the incandescent.

Start by going across Row 1, wattage. A 60 watt incandescent uses about the same amount of electricity as a 16 watt compact fluorescent to produce the same amount of light. (If you don’t believe the instructor on this one, perhaps we could arrange for a small wager? Just kidding about the wager, not about the light bulb).

In Row 2, you see the 50 cents for the incandescent and that AWFUL $25 price for the compact fluorescent. (Why even bother going on with this you say! There’s NO WAY that the incandescent is going to end up costing more…I’ve got better things to do with my time that this…….). Please go on……

In Row 3, you see the life time rating of the two bulbs, 750 versus 10000 hours and in row 4, the average national cost per kilowatt hour of electricity, 8 per kilowatt hour, which is also what BG&E charges, by the way. Row 5 depicts the total energy used for each bulb over 10000 hours, 600 kilowatt hours versus 160 kilowatt hours for the compact fluorescent.

 

Energy Efficient Lighting Comparison

 

 

 

Enter # of Hours

10000

 

 

 

 

Energy Cost = bulb wattage * (# of hours/1000) * cost per KWHR

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard

Compact

Row

Category

 

 

 

Incandescent

Fluorescent

1

Wattage

 

 

 

60

16

2

Purchase Price - Bulb

 

 

$0.50

$25.00

3

Rating in Hours - Bulb

 

 

750

10000

4

Electricity per KWHR

 

 

0.08

0.08

5

Energy Consumed in KWHRs

 

600

160

Now let’s look at the total cost. Rows 7 and 8 depict the total energy costs for both bulbs and the total bulb costs. Because incandescent bulbs wear out after 750 hours, you’ll need 14 of them compared to 1 compact fluorescent. Row 9 depicts the TOTAL cost for both bulbs. The total cost for the incandescent is $55 dollars and the compact fluorescent is $37.80. You’ll actually save $17.20 by buying the compact fluorescent bulb.

6

Life Cycle Costs

 

 

 

 

7

Energy 

10000

hours

 

$48.00

$12.80

8

Bulb

10000

hours

 

$7.00

$25.00

9

Total 

10000

hours

 

$55.00

$37.80

Rows 10 through 16 compare the emissions data for the electricity needed to power each bulb. Emissions are reduced by a factor of four simply because it takes a fourth less energy to power the compact fluorescents.

10

Emissions Data - Coal Fired Power Plant

 

 

11

Coal Burned (1 kWh =.981 lbs. coal)

 

589

157

12

CO2 Released (1 lb.coal=2.59 lb. CO2)

1524

407

13

CO2 Released (1 lb.= 8.75 cubic feet)

13339

3557

14

SO2 Released (1 kWh = 8.85 grams)

 

5310

1416

15

NOX Released (1kWh = 4.15 grams)

2490

664

16

Particulates (1 kWh = .27 grams)

 

162

43

Rows 17 through 24 show the net cost and emission savings of the compact fluorescent versus the incandescent.

17

Net Savings versus Incandescent

 

 

 

18

Total Life Cycle Cost

 

 

 

$17.20

19

Coal (lbs.)

 

 

 

 

432

20

CO2 (lbs.)

 

 

 

 

1118

21

CO2 (cubic Feet)

 

 

 

9782

22

SO2 (grams)

 

 

 

 

3894

23

NOX (grams)

 

 

 

1826

24

Particulates (grams)

 

 

 

119

So, let’s summarize the costs and benefits we have so far. The incandescent bulb is cheaper to buy, but ends up costing about 30% more than the compact fluorescent simply because it takes less energy to light the compact fluorescent. So, not only is the compact fluorescent cheaper, but emissions of air pollutants as well as carbon dioxide are ¼ as much.

But wait a minute you might say…don’t compact fluorescents give off that cold, blue light? Many people think of the old school laboratory lights when they hear the word fluorescent. The color that a fluorescent bulb gives off is a function of the phosphors that are used. You can buy compact fluorescents that are “cold blue” like that old laboratory, but most people prefer the ones that are “golden warm” and look like the way incandescent bulbs do and most compact fluorescent bulbs nowadays give off that warm glow.

Well, don’t fluorescent bulbs buzz? I hate that buzz! Well, again the fluorescent lights you thinking of are the ones from the lab. The new compact fluorescent bulbs cycle at much higher frequencies and don’t buzz.

Okay, okay, but will they fit my lamps? There are a huge variety of shapes and sizes of compact fluorescent bulbs and many of these will fit your lamps. You’ll probably have to take the shade off and maybe the harp, the golden metal piece that holds the shade in place, but once the bulb is in place, simply put the harp and shade back in place. For more information about compact fluorescent bulbs go to> http://www.portlandgeneral.com/home/energy_savings/ways_save/how_to_buy.asp?bhcp=1.

Aren’t convinced yet? We’ll, let me tell you that I lied before about the $25 compact fluorescent bulb price. The twenty five dollar price was the worst price I’ve ever seen and was in one of those eco-chic mail order catalogs when these bulbs first came out in the early 1990’s. Bulbs.com offers compact fluorescents for 3.49 a piece> www.bulbs.com and all major hardware and merchandise retailers such as Home Depot, Wal Mart, Target, etc. carry them often at prices that can beat those online. Home Depot occasionally sells their 6 pack of 16 watt compact fluorescent bulbs for 9.99, which comes to $1.67 a piece. If you pay $1.67 for your compact fluorescent, the total cost for the compact fluorescent is $14.47 versus $55 for the incandescent. Convinced?

So, you see that even though we started with a decision that seemed intuitively correct, buying compact fluorescents is WAY, WAY cheaper and significantly better for the environment. So, why does anyone buy incandescent bulbs anymore? Good question, but we need to remember that human behavior is HUGELY affected by inertia. Because decision making can be fairly complex and, with so many decisions to make, most people would choose to continue to do what they’re familiar with rather then change their behavior.

However, our decisions as individuals, and then collectively, can have a HUGE impact on the world around us. Just think how different the world might be if Rosa Parks had given her seat up on that bus that day in 1955 in Montgomery, Alabama. Her decision to remain seated sparked what became the civil rights movement in the United States (by the way, if you don’t know who Rosa Parks is, I suggest you do an Internet search and find out). Rosa Parks, through one single decision she made one afternoon, changed the course of history. Each decision we make about how we use resources changes the course of history as well, maybe not as much as Rosa Park’s decision that December afternoon, but who knows? Most of us don’t realize how important our decisions are and where they might lead to.